Archive for the ‘Football’ Category

NFL Top 10: Week 3 Power Rankings

Wednesday, September 23rd, 2009

1. New York Giants – My preseason pick to win it all has two tough divisional victories under their belts, and Eli Manning may have had his best day as a pro on Sunday night in Dallas.  Unless the Justin Tuck injury is more serious than expected, look for the G-Men to go on a little run here with the Bucs, Chiefs and Raiders in their immediate path.

2. Baltimore Ravens – Are we sure this is the Baltimore Ravens?  Are they really going out there and winning shootouts?  Yes, they are.  Joe Flacco and a potent running game have put Baltimore in first place even before that ferocious defense gets into high gear.

3. New Orleans Saints – Peyton Manning may be my favorite quarterback, but the best one in the league right now is Drew Brees.  Lighting up the Lions for six touchdowns is one thing.  Going into the Linc and running up 48 on a tough Eagles team is quite another.  Their defense will have to ratchet it up a bit, but look out world, the Saints are doing some damage.

4. Indianapolis Colts – Close victories against both Jacksonville and Miami weren’t incredibly confidence-inspiring, but they were hard-fought wins by a team in some transition.  And for all that is changing these days in Indy, number 18 has stayed the same – top notch.

5. New York Jets – This won’t last long, because they aren’t nearly as good as they’re showing.  But the Jets have had a nice couple of weeks to open the year, including knocking off the Patriots.

6. Atlanta Falcons – Sophomore Matt Ryan is picking up where he left off last year.  Just wait until Michael Turner really gets going.  It could get toasty in Hot-lanta.

7. New England Patriots – Tom Brady may have left his magic in Foxboro on Sunday, but that seems unlikely to continue.

8. Dallas Cowboys – The ‘Boys had every opportunity to beat the Giants to open their new cathedral, but too many mistakes by Tony Romo and an inability to stop Eli Manning was their undoing.  I expect the “D” in Dallas to return, but where is Romo headed?

9. Minnesota Vikings – They let the lowly Lions stick around for a while before hitting the throttle.  You have to wonder what might happen when they go up against a real team for the first time after toying with Cleveland and Motown in the first two weeks.  Any team with Adrian Peterson, that defense, and a surprisingly game-manager-esque No. 4 has precious few reasons to worry.

10. Tennessee Titans – This is it, Jeff Fisher.  A couple of very close losses to two very good teams has put them in a hole.  With one of the best coaches in the NFL and a ton of talent, I doubt the Titans lose for long… but one more against MarkSanchez & Co. this weekend, and I will be forced to adjust my Super expectations of them.

John Madden’s overtime solution a good one

Monday, September 21st, 2009

During halftime of NBC’s Sunday Night Football this week, a few snippets aired of an interview Bob Costas did with retired coach, video game mogul, and revolutionary color commentator John Madden.  A few subjects caught my interest, so I went on nbcsports.com and watched the entire interview (here).

One of Costas’ questions was in regards to the format of overtime in the NFL, and what Madden’s opinion is of the possibility of changing it, as has been talked about in recent years.  I’ve penned my opinion on the subject before, but I hadn’t considered the unique concept that Madden suggested.

While he said he’d rather the current format go unchanged, Madden said that if the league were to change overtime rules, he would like to see the overtime period begin just as the second or fourth quarter would.  In other words, after swapping sides of the field and a 2 minute timeout, the team with possession at the end of regulation would maintain posession at the same down, distance and field position in the overtime period.

This is interesting for a few different reasons:

1.  It solves the biggest problem that opponents have with the current system – the coin toss.  No longer would an arbitrary factor influence the outcome of the game as frequently as it currently does.

2.  It does not compromise the integrity of the game, as many other suggested solutions would.  The type of football that is played for the entirety of the game would remain the same into the extra period, without banishing use of the field goal, adding a possession, or sacrificing the element of sudden death.

3.  A team down by 3 points would have added motivation to go for the victory (touchdown) in regulation rather than the tie (field goal), because they know that their opponent will have the opportunity to have a complete, uninterrupted series of downs after the ensuing kickoff, without expiration of the game clock being a factor and essentially “saving” them from having to defend an entire possession.

It’s been a number of years since John Madden has consistently delivered relevant football commentary.  Toward the end of his broadcasting career, he seemed to become almost a parody of himself, without a hell of a lot of substance.  But this particular idea is a very good one, and I’m pleased that NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell recognized Madden’s value and added him in a football advisory role to Goodell’s office, even if Madden’s value became difficult for many of the rest of us to recognize in recent years.

NFL Week 2: Blackout Rules May Not Apply

Monday, September 21st, 2009

Now THERE is the wacky-ass NFL we’ve all come to know and love over the years!  After a week 1 full of unsurprising results, week 2 was full of upsets and wild endings, the most monumental of which was the spunky New York Jets’ upset of the team many called the best in the league, the New England Patriots.

Unfortunately, I have yet to see the entirety of the Bears’ victory over the Steelers, as my cable went out during the first drive of the second half, and didn’t come back on until after the game had ended.  I will catch a replay on NFL Network or On Demand and do a write-up later this week.  Suffce it to say, I’m quite pleased.  Listening to only the radio was a pretty cool “throwback” feel.  There’s nothing quite like a game-winning play call with the home broadcast team, and just imagining it in your mind.  It was a nuisance that the TV was out, but I really enjoyed just focusing on Jeff Joniak and Tom Thayer’s call on WBBM.

Here are some quick hit week 2 thoughts.

- Tom Brady is human!  Through that whole game, I kept waiting and waiting for the other shoe to drop on the Jets, and it never did.  No Brady magic this time.

- Wild one in Philadelphia.  Drew Brees was awesome again, but the Saints’ defense made Kevin Kolb look almost as good.

- I had a feeling about those Bengals.  Sadly, I went against my gut, and it cost me in my pool.  I love Ochocinco though, and I really hope Carson Palmer returns to form this year.  This was a good first step.

- Andre Johnson showed yet again – on several plays – why he is the best wide receiver in the game today.  The man is a ridiculous physical specimen.  I kind of hope Rex Grossman gets a chance to play at some point, because I’m curious to see what his production level is with a real WR (for once).

- The New York Giants – as I’ve said before – are the best team in the NFL.  They gave up a few too many points to a struggling Tony Romo however, and if Justin Tuck misses time with his shoulder injury, that could spell trouble for Big Blue.

- What the hell, Tennessee?  I pick you to win the AFC, so you decide to lose every AFC game you can get your hands on???

- Washington 9, St. Louis 7?  That game lived up to every last expectation I had for it.  I may be agnostic, but I’m going to thank a deity that I wasn’t forced to watch that thing.

- Chris Johnson, my fantasy team thanks you for your contributions.  May “God” bless you and yors.

Starting this week, I will post a Top 10 power ranking as I see the NFL.  I figure if they let any idiot who writes for a sports site do such a thing, why wouldn’t I be as qualified?  And again, Bears wrap later in the week.

More on Bears-Packers Week 1

Monday, September 14th, 2009

After a restless night stewing over that game, there were a couple of issues I meant to mention earlier but forgot about in the post-game haze.

Lovie Smith had one of his worst games from a game-management standpoint that I can recall.  Terrible clock management and two very ill-advised replay challenges showed that whoever among his staff is in charge of telling him to challenge or keeping proper time was asleep at the wheel.

News this morning is not good on the injured linebackers.  Brian Urlacher fractured his wrist and will require surgery.  Early reports have him missing roughly six games.  (Update: Urlacher will miss the remainder of the season after wrist surgery.)  Pisa Tinoisamoa has a knee injury, and word currently is that he’ll miss between 3 and 6 weeks.

My prediction of an 11-5 campaign for the Bears and an appearance in the NFC championship game was, obviously, predicated on the Bears remaining relatively healthy, as any NFL team must in order to win.  Should Urlacher’s injury have as significant an impact on his season as I now suspect it will, that is a total game-changer, no matter how good Jay Cutler and the offense are from this point forward.

As stinging as that loss was, the longer-term ramifications of what happened in Lambeau Field last night could be truly season-altering.

Cutler’s inauspicious Bears debut, other NFL Week 1 thoughts

Monday, September 14th, 2009

At least that’s out of the way.

His debut with a new team against its biggest rival on national television was hardly the ideal time for Jay Cutler to have the worst game of his sterling young career.  He threw four interceptions and only one touchdown as his Chicago Bears lost to the Green Bay Packers 21-15 on Sunday night.

The game was strange, and often nightmarish for Bears fans, after so much anticipation for the debut of their first franchise quarterback in decades.  The first half was riddled with Cutler’s bad decisions.  Injuries to key players popped up around every turn for the Bears, as Btian Urlacher, Dez Clark, Pisa Tinoisamoa and Trumaine McBride all left the game with various ailments.

Important to note was that the defense had an outstanding game overall, giving up only one legitimate touchdown drive, albeit the game-deciding one.  They were able to pressure Aaron Rodgers, sacking him four times including once in the end zone for a safety.  If the defense can continue to pressure quarterbacks with that type of success, the Bears may be in even better shape than I thought they’d be this year.

As for Cutler, there is little to say.  He’s one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, and he had the worst game of his career.  These things happen.  Assuming his career doesn’t devolve into some sort of cosmic death spiral – and that Matt Forte can have better success finding running lanes – the Bears will win their share.

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As for the rest of the league, it was a hell of an entertaining day, even if my picks were unceremoniously blown to smithereens.  Here are a few quick hits on the other games.

- NFL RedZone Channel is quite a thing.  Hard to get into the rhythm of individual games, but if you like seeing the big plays and scoring, and enjoy seeing the results of all the games as quickly as possible, it is fantastic.

- Drew Brees and Adrian Peterson both showed why they’re the best at what they do.

- Kyle Orton’s spectacular string of mediocre skills and magnificent luck continued with an immaculate reception that turned his Broncos debut loss into a shocking win.

- Mark Sanchez had a nice debut; Matt Stafford?  Not so much.

- I can’t believe I picked the Rams to win 9 games.  They may not score 9 points.

- I still see nothing in the 49ers; that game only showed me that the Cardinals were more lucky than good this past January.

- The Bengals sure do find interesting ways to lose, don’t they?

- The Giants are still going to win the Super Bowl.  I have a feeling.

- Tennessee put up an impressive fight against Pittsburgh on Thursday night.  I hope to see a rematch in January between those two teams, because that’d be a fun one with the Lamar Hunt trophy on the line.

2009 NFL predictions

Thursday, September 10th, 2009

With the 2009-10 NFL season kicking off tonight, it is finally time for me to stop my endless tinkering and publish my predictions for the season.

The NFL is a wacky-ass league in which every season sees half a dozen teams in the playoffs that did not make it the year prior.  Looking at 2008 alone, who would’ve expected Baltimore, Atlanta and Miami to make the tournament?  Who thought the Cardinals had a snowball’s chance in hell of surviving the NFC playoffs and damn near toppling Pittsburgh in Super Bowl XLIII?

Sure as hell not me; I picked Arizona to lose each and every week of the playoffs, and I only ended up being right once.  It’s an impossible, unpredictable league.

With those excuses out of the way, I present my 2009 NFL predictions, live and in black-and-white color!  (I would note that none of the NFL writers of Sports Illustrated (their picks here) agree with either of my Super Bowl teams (New York Giants and Tennessee Titans), so I suppose I must be out on some sort of limb here.  That said, the Giants are, in my book, the best team in football, and the Titans may be the best coached team in football.  I like the Giants in Super Bowl XLIV.

Sidenote:  A number of national writers seem to expect Green Bay to suddenly become a Super Bowl team, which I don’t quite understand.  Nothing of their 6-10 record a year ago or their defensive turmoil suggests to me that they’re ready to contend.  Aaron Rodgers had a good first year as a starter, and they have a couple of nice targets in Donald Driver and Greg Jennings, but I’d like to see Rodgers do it again before putting him in Canton.  Same thing with Ryan Grant, who racked up some nice numbers last season but does not appear to be me to be a premiere NFL back.

I could be completely wrong about the Packers, but in my world they’re the 3rd best team in the NFC North, and until they show me that switching to a 3-4 defensive alignment is the right move for them, I’m not seeing the Pack as world beaters.

The worst franchise in sports?

Monday, September 7th, 2009

Before this weekend, if you asked me how many rebuilding franchises in the NFL would trade away a first-round draft choice for a defensive lineman who has missed a quarter of the last two seasons of his careeer, turns 30 in a month, and is under contract for this season only, my answer would’ve been “none”.

Dear God did I overestimate Al Davis and the Oakland Raiders, who traded their 2011 first round draft pick to the New England Patriots for defensive lineman Richard Seymour, in what I am thoroughly convinced will turn out to be the most lopsided deal in recent memory.

Seymour is a solid player, of course.  He may very well have another three or four seasons of productivity in him.  But few talent evaluators would bet the farm on it, fewer would bet 2nd or 3rd round draft pick on it, and even fewer – to the tune of one – would bet a (likely very high) first round pick on it.

Trades in the NFL are strange animals.  They don’t happen anywhere near as frequently as in baseball, and rarely do they involve top-tier players – the previously-discussed Jay Cutler deal notwithstanding.  It’s hard to match the right player with the right system, and it is often times very difficult to determine whether or not a player’s success can be atttributed more to his own skillset and abilities, or to the system in which he plays and the talent he is surrounded by.  It’s even harder to know exactly how healthy another team’s player is, and get a truly accurate gauge as to how much more NFL life that player has in him.  As a result, NFL teams tend to build via the college draft.  It is for that reason – among others – that draft picks are the second-most prized commodity in the NFL, behind franchise quarterbacks.

And that’s where the shock sets in.  As inept as the Raiders have been run for the better part of the last ten years by a well-past-his-mental-prime  Davis, and for all the colossal personnel and public relations failures endured by that franchise, this one could well take the cake as the centerpiece miscue of the most poorly run operation in professional sports.

Not being a Raiders fan continues to pay dividends.

Josh McDaniels: the worst coach in the NFL

Monday, August 31st, 2009
That is pretty remarkable statement to make, but Denver Broncos head coach Josh McDaniels is a pretty remarkable young man.  And it’s true, he’s the worst coach in the National Football League.
As of yet, of course, we don’t know whether or not McDaniels will ever be a revered X’s and O’s strategist or decision maker; whether or not he is the wunderkind you’d expect of a man getting such a prestigious job in his early 30s, with no head coaching experience and nothing, essentially, on his resume other than serving as understudy to the vaunted football mind Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots.
What we do know is that as a direct result of McDaniels’ tactless pursuit of quarterback Matt Cassel (a show of disrespect and distrust toward incumbent and 2008 Pro Bowler Jay Cutler), McDaniels started a chain reaction (and aggravated it along the way) that led to Denver altering the course of history for two franchises by trading the superstar to the Chicago Bears for draft picks and a journeyman-type passer in Kyle Orton.
Make no mistake about it, nearly the entire reason Jay Cutler is wearing navy and orange on the Chicago lakefront is Josh McDaniels’ laughable incompetence, and will lead to not only his demise as Denver’s coach, but could easily set the Broncos’ franchise back several years.
There are certain NFL truths that cannot be escaped.  The biggest one is this: quarterback is the single most important player position in team sports, and in order to be an elite franchise and a championship contender year in and year out, a franchise must have an elite quarterback.  McDaniels failed to recognize that Cutler was exactly that.
Without coaching a single game, Josh McDaniels has sealed his legacy in Denver, and the damage he has done to their franchise will haunt them years after McDaniels is gone.

That is pretty remarkable statement to make, but Denver Broncos head coach Josh McDaniels is a pretty remarkable young man.  And it’s true, he’s the worst coach in the National Football League.

As of yet, of course, we don’t know whether or not McDaniels will ever be a revered X’s and O’s strategist or decision maker; whether or not he is the wunderkind you’d expect of a man getting such a prestigious job in his early 30s, with no head coaching experience and nothing, essentially, on his resume other than serving as understudy to the vaunted football mind Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots.

What we do know is that as a direct result of McDaniels’ tactless pursuit of quarterback Matt Cassel (a show of disrespect and distrust toward incumbent and 2008 Pro Bowler Jay Cutler), McDaniels started a chain reaction (and aggravated it along the way) that led to Denver altering the course of history for two franchises by trading the superstar to the Chicago Bears for draft picks and a journeyman-type passer in Kyle Orton.

Make no mistake about it, nearly the entire reason Jay Cutler is wearing navy and orange on the Chicago lakefront is Josh McDaniels’ laughable incompetence, and will lead to not only his demise as Denver’s coach, but could easily set the Broncos’ franchise back several years.

There are certain NFL truths that cannot be escaped.  The biggest one is this: quarterback is the single most important player position in team sports, and in order to be an elite franchise and a championship contender year in and year out, a franchise must have an elite quarterback.  McDaniels failed to recognize that Cutler was exactly that.

Without coaching a single game, Josh McDaniels has sealed his legacy in Denver, and the damage he has done to their franchise will haunt them years after McDaniels is gone.

Changing the Rules: the National Football League

Tuesday, April 28th, 2009

This is an ongoing series in which I examine elements of the mechanics of professional sports that could use modernization or improvement

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The National Football League has set a pretty fine example over the years on how to be a flexible enough sport to adopt changes and morph into a more modern form as time goes on. It was the first sport to adopt video replay on a wide scale, and while the system is not totally perfected, it is far and away the best in sports, and has helped the league become what I believe to be the most well-officiated major sport.

While the only changes I would make to modernize the NFL are small ones – broadening the reach of instant replay, establishing a far greater number of cameras and angles at which the official can see replays, etc. – the league is in a constant state of change when it comes to rules and policies, and you can expect major changes coming soon to the NFL.

Current changes that the league is discussing include expanding the regular season schedule to 17 or 18 games per team while reducing the preseason to 2 or 3, and modifying the overtime system to make the coin-toss less significant a determining factor in the game’s outcome.

As for the schedule expansion, I’m fairly indifferent to this change. There are solid arguments on both sides of the fence. Opponents suggest that more regular season action would cause a greater number of injuries to star players, thus diluting the quality of the entire schedule. Proponents cannot stand the current slate of four (or, in some cases, five) preseason games per team, and if those were reduced and the season expanded, everybody who currently makes money from football would make even more, and fans surely wouldn’t complain about having more games to enjoy.

The most interesting schedule expansion proposal that I’ve read has been to go to a 17-game format, with each team having eight games at home, eight at an opponent’s home (“away” games), and one neutral site game. We’ve seen the NFL take it’s show on the road to London’s Wembley Stadium for a couple of regular season games now, as well as Mexico City. Exhibitions have taken place in Asia, Europe and Mexico as well. The NFL has done a spectacular job marketing its game internationally, and it seems that there are numerous hotbeds of potential NFL fanbases to cultivate all around the globe, and adding sixteen potential internationally-located match-ups per season would only enhance that growth. In my lifetime I expect to see NFL franchises located outside of North America, and I truly hope that is the case, because it would be incredibly fascinating to see how America’s game is received and consumed in various other cultures around the globe.

As for modifications to the league’s rules on overtime, I do not like the idea at all. Complaints have arisen because of the disproportionate number of games that end on the extra period’s first possession, thus making the coin toss an overly-important element. In my opinion, the root of this problem can be traced to a number of rules changes over the past two decades that have overwhelmingly favored the advancement of offensive-oriented football. Because a high-scoring contest is considered more marketable and palatable to a wider audience, the league has instituted a number of strict penalizations on aggressive defensive football.

The fact is, football is the only sport where you can score points while on defense. If the league tampers with one of the most exciting elements of its product – sudden death overtime – it will be a tragedy. If they really want to do something to make overtime more “fair”, they should loosen up pass interference and defensive holding penalties, and let it get a little more rough and tumble in the defensive backfield. Finesse offenses won’t march right down the field nearly as often if that were to happen. And who knows, maybe those coveted “casual fans” will learn to love defensive-minded football like some of us die-hards.