Cutler’s inauspicious Bears debut, other NFL Week 1 thoughts

September 14th, 2009

At least that’s out of the way.

His debut with a new team against its biggest rival on national television was hardly the ideal time for Jay Cutler to have the worst game of his sterling young career.  He threw four interceptions and only one touchdown as his Chicago Bears lost to the Green Bay Packers 21-15 on Sunday night.

The game was strange, and often nightmarish for Bears fans, after so much anticipation for the debut of their first franchise quarterback in decades.  The first half was riddled with Cutler’s bad decisions.  Injuries to key players popped up around every turn for the Bears, as Btian Urlacher, Dez Clark, Pisa Tinoisamoa and Trumaine McBride all left the game with various ailments.

Important to note was that the defense had an outstanding game overall, giving up only one legitimate touchdown drive, albeit the game-deciding one.  They were able to pressure Aaron Rodgers, sacking him four times including once in the end zone for a safety.  If the defense can continue to pressure quarterbacks with that type of success, the Bears may be in even better shape than I thought they’d be this year.

As for Cutler, there is little to say.  He’s one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, and he had the worst game of his career.  These things happen.  Assuming his career doesn’t devolve into some sort of cosmic death spiral – and that Matt Forte can have better success finding running lanes – the Bears will win their share.

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As for the rest of the league, it was a hell of an entertaining day, even if my picks were unceremoniously blown to smithereens.  Here are a few quick hits on the other games.

- NFL RedZone Channel is quite a thing.  Hard to get into the rhythm of individual games, but if you like seeing the big plays and scoring, and enjoy seeing the results of all the games as quickly as possible, it is fantastic.

- Drew Brees and Adrian Peterson both showed why they’re the best at what they do.

- Kyle Orton’s spectacular string of mediocre skills and magnificent luck continued with an immaculate reception that turned his Broncos debut loss into a shocking win.

- Mark Sanchez had a nice debut; Matt Stafford?  Not so much.

- I can’t believe I picked the Rams to win 9 games.  They may not score 9 points.

- I still see nothing in the 49ers; that game only showed me that the Cardinals were more lucky than good this past January.

- The Bengals sure do find interesting ways to lose, don’t they?

- The Giants are still going to win the Super Bowl.  I have a feeling.

- Tennessee put up an impressive fight against Pittsburgh on Thursday night.  I hope to see a rematch in January between those two teams, because that’d be a fun one with the Lamar Hunt trophy on the line.

2009 NFL predictions

September 10th, 2009

With the 2009-10 NFL season kicking off tonight, it is finally time for me to stop my endless tinkering and publish my predictions for the season.

The NFL is a wacky-ass league in which every season sees half a dozen teams in the playoffs that did not make it the year prior.  Looking at 2008 alone, who would’ve expected Baltimore, Atlanta and Miami to make the tournament?  Who thought the Cardinals had a snowball’s chance in hell of surviving the NFC playoffs and damn near toppling Pittsburgh in Super Bowl XLIII?

Sure as hell not me; I picked Arizona to lose each and every week of the playoffs, and I only ended up being right once.  It’s an impossible, unpredictable league.

With those excuses out of the way, I present my 2009 NFL predictions, live and in black-and-white color!  (I would note that none of the NFL writers of Sports Illustrated (their picks here) agree with either of my Super Bowl teams (New York Giants and Tennessee Titans), so I suppose I must be out on some sort of limb here.  That said, the Giants are, in my book, the best team in football, and the Titans may be the best coached team in football.  I like the Giants in Super Bowl XLIV.

Sidenote:  A number of national writers seem to expect Green Bay to suddenly become a Super Bowl team, which I don’t quite understand.  Nothing of their 6-10 record a year ago or their defensive turmoil suggests to me that they’re ready to contend.  Aaron Rodgers had a good first year as a starter, and they have a couple of nice targets in Donald Driver and Greg Jennings, but I’d like to see Rodgers do it again before putting him in Canton.  Same thing with Ryan Grant, who racked up some nice numbers last season but does not appear to be me to be a premiere NFL back.

I could be completely wrong about the Packers, but in my world they’re the 3rd best team in the NFC North, and until they show me that switching to a 3-4 defensive alignment is the right move for them, I’m not seeing the Pack as world beaters.

Stream of Consciousness: “Kendra”

September 8th, 2009

Flipping channels, I came across the tail-end of “Chelsea Lately” on E!, which I am fascinated by because (A) Chelsea Handler is one of the few women on this planet who is extremely funny, and (B) the images of Chelsea in the show’s opening credits are so hot, and then she comes on and… something has gone askew.

The show ends, and a show called “Kendra” starts.  I’m only vaguely aware of who this girl is, and it is almost entirely due to her dating NFL wide receiver Hank Baskett, who was once on a fantasy team of mine.

Nevertheless, I watched roughly twelve seconds of this show, and here is my stream of consciousness from that viewing.

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- Hmm.  This Kendra girl is pretty hot.

- Hank Baskett!  I had him on my fantasy team!  Wonder if he still plays for the Eagles.

- The Eagles aren’t going to be any damn good this year.  Westbrook’s always hurt, McNabb is old and can’t keep it together; I have no faith in that team.

- Boy, this Kendra girl is irritating.  Poor Hank!  (click)

“Your Glove”, a parody of The Outfield

September 7th, 2009
Jose’s on a stay-cation far away
Kenny shipped his ass to Denver
So many cursewords they made me say
2005 becoming hard to remember
I want ‘em to use their gloves tonight
I don’t wanna see Q’s glove tonight
I ain’t got many walls left to punch through
Landlord comes ’round, I’ll be in trouble
You know I’d give anything to see Q
Take a pitch and hit a line drive double
I just wanna see good gloves tonight
I don’t wanna lose this one tonight
Tried to stop my stomach from achin’
When I heard what happened to Bacon
It’s been a while since we were all alone
Atop the central division
As you leave us please switch to channel 4
so I can watch me some good football
Just cause you were all right doesn’t mean you won
The trip out east was just no damn fun
I just wanna be above the Tribe
I don’t wanna be team number 5

Jose’s on a stay-cation far away
Kenny shipped his ass to Denver
So many cursewords they made me say
2005 becoming hard to remember
I want ‘em to use their gloves tonight
I don’t wanna see Q’s glove tonight

I ain’t got many walls left to punch through
Landlord comes ’round, I’ll be in trouble
You know I’d give anything to see Q
Take a pitch and hit a line drive double
I just wanna see good gloves tonight
I don’t wanna lose this one tonight

Tried to stop my stomach from achin’
When I heard what happened to Bacon
It’s been a while since we were all alone
Atop the central division

As you leave us please switch to channel 4
so I can watch me some good football
Just cause you were all right doesn’t mean you won
The trip out east was just no damn fun
I just wanna be above the Tribe
I don’t wanna be team number 5

The worst franchise in sports?

September 7th, 2009

Before this weekend, if you asked me how many rebuilding franchises in the NFL would trade away a first-round draft choice for a defensive lineman who has missed a quarter of the last two seasons of his careeer, turns 30 in a month, and is under contract for this season only, my answer would’ve been “none”.

Dear God did I overestimate Al Davis and the Oakland Raiders, who traded their 2011 first round draft pick to the New England Patriots for defensive lineman Richard Seymour, in what I am thoroughly convinced will turn out to be the most lopsided deal in recent memory.

Seymour is a solid player, of course.  He may very well have another three or four seasons of productivity in him.  But few talent evaluators would bet the farm on it, fewer would bet 2nd or 3rd round draft pick on it, and even fewer – to the tune of one – would bet a (likely very high) first round pick on it.

Trades in the NFL are strange animals.  They don’t happen anywhere near as frequently as in baseball, and rarely do they involve top-tier players – the previously-discussed Jay Cutler deal notwithstanding.  It’s hard to match the right player with the right system, and it is often times very difficult to determine whether or not a player’s success can be atttributed more to his own skillset and abilities, or to the system in which he plays and the talent he is surrounded by.  It’s even harder to know exactly how healthy another team’s player is, and get a truly accurate gauge as to how much more NFL life that player has in him.  As a result, NFL teams tend to build via the college draft.  It is for that reason – among others – that draft picks are the second-most prized commodity in the NFL, behind franchise quarterbacks.

And that’s where the shock sets in.  As inept as the Raiders have been run for the better part of the last ten years by a well-past-his-mental-prime  Davis, and for all the colossal personnel and public relations failures endured by that franchise, this one could well take the cake as the centerpiece miscue of the most poorly run operation in professional sports.

Not being a Raiders fan continues to pay dividends.

The RETURN of Thrill Shots!

September 1st, 2009

First, it was an AC/DC song. Then, it was a radio segment. Then, it was a blog. And now… it’s a blog again. But it’s newer, it’s improved…er, and it’s gonna be special!  Welcome to the relaunched Thrill Shots!

Jim Thome: the Gentleman Dodger

September 1st, 2009

With news this morning that the White Sox have traded Jim Thome to the Los Angeles Dodgers comes a bittersweet taste in the mouths of Sox fans everywhere.

I recall the November day, just a handful of days after the White Sox captured their first World Series championship in 88 years.  The news came through that centerfielder Aaron Rowand had been traded to the Philadelphia Phillies for slugger Jim Thome.  I was elated; incoming was a future Hall of Fame left-handed power hitter to add to an already-championship line-up and make the White Sox the odds-on favorites to win the 2006 World Series.

And they were.  For the first time possibly in the history of the publication, Sports Illustrated predicted the White Sox to win the 2006 World Series the following spring.

And what a year 2006 was.  The park was packed every night with fans still deliriously happy over the team’s triumph the year before, and the present team’s fortunes.  Thome, Jermaine Dye and Paul Konerko led an incredibly potent offense that hit more home runs than any other in baseball.  They established team records for both home runs and attendance that season, and though the pitching could not keep up, it was one hell of a year on the south side.

In Thome’s nearly four seasons with the club, he has had ups and downs, but has still put up respectable numbers and remained the most beloved person in the clubhouse until his departure.  Sox fans will never forget his 500th career home run – of the walk-off variety.  He also hit one of the most important homers in club history to win Game 163 in 2008 and send the Sox into the playoffs.

And I will never forget the 2006 World Series championship that his acquisition was supposed to insure.  It didn’t quite work out that way, but I will remember that year and his tenure with the Sox very fondly nevertheless.

As for the 2009 World Series, I’m a Dodgers fan.  The Gentleman Masher deserves one more crack at a ring, and I’m proud of Sox GM Kenny Williams for affording him that opportunity.

Josh McDaniels: the worst coach in the NFL

August 31st, 2009
That is pretty remarkable statement to make, but Denver Broncos head coach Josh McDaniels is a pretty remarkable young man.  And it’s true, he’s the worst coach in the National Football League.
As of yet, of course, we don’t know whether or not McDaniels will ever be a revered X’s and O’s strategist or decision maker; whether or not he is the wunderkind you’d expect of a man getting such a prestigious job in his early 30s, with no head coaching experience and nothing, essentially, on his resume other than serving as understudy to the vaunted football mind Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots.
What we do know is that as a direct result of McDaniels’ tactless pursuit of quarterback Matt Cassel (a show of disrespect and distrust toward incumbent and 2008 Pro Bowler Jay Cutler), McDaniels started a chain reaction (and aggravated it along the way) that led to Denver altering the course of history for two franchises by trading the superstar to the Chicago Bears for draft picks and a journeyman-type passer in Kyle Orton.
Make no mistake about it, nearly the entire reason Jay Cutler is wearing navy and orange on the Chicago lakefront is Josh McDaniels’ laughable incompetence, and will lead to not only his demise as Denver’s coach, but could easily set the Broncos’ franchise back several years.
There are certain NFL truths that cannot be escaped.  The biggest one is this: quarterback is the single most important player position in team sports, and in order to be an elite franchise and a championship contender year in and year out, a franchise must have an elite quarterback.  McDaniels failed to recognize that Cutler was exactly that.
Without coaching a single game, Josh McDaniels has sealed his legacy in Denver, and the damage he has done to their franchise will haunt them years after McDaniels is gone.

That is pretty remarkable statement to make, but Denver Broncos head coach Josh McDaniels is a pretty remarkable young man.  And it’s true, he’s the worst coach in the National Football League.

As of yet, of course, we don’t know whether or not McDaniels will ever be a revered X’s and O’s strategist or decision maker; whether or not he is the wunderkind you’d expect of a man getting such a prestigious job in his early 30s, with no head coaching experience and nothing, essentially, on his resume other than serving as understudy to the vaunted football mind Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots.

What we do know is that as a direct result of McDaniels’ tactless pursuit of quarterback Matt Cassel (a show of disrespect and distrust toward incumbent and 2008 Pro Bowler Jay Cutler), McDaniels started a chain reaction (and aggravated it along the way) that led to Denver altering the course of history for two franchises by trading the superstar to the Chicago Bears for draft picks and a journeyman-type passer in Kyle Orton.

Make no mistake about it, nearly the entire reason Jay Cutler is wearing navy and orange on the Chicago lakefront is Josh McDaniels’ laughable incompetence, and will lead to not only his demise as Denver’s coach, but could easily set the Broncos’ franchise back several years.

There are certain NFL truths that cannot be escaped.  The biggest one is this: quarterback is the single most important player position in team sports, and in order to be an elite franchise and a championship contender year in and year out, a franchise must have an elite quarterback.  McDaniels failed to recognize that Cutler was exactly that.

Without coaching a single game, Josh McDaniels has sealed his legacy in Denver, and the damage he has done to their franchise will haunt them years after McDaniels is gone.

The Great Customer Service Experiment

July 16th, 2009

I have occasional mental lapses that cause me to mis-remember dates of relative insignificance. It is because of two of these lapses that I made a late payment on my two primary credit cards this month – within one week of each other.

The similarities were staggering: I had an “Ahh, shit!” moment in each instance whereby I forgot to make the payment until the morning after the due date. Both payments were made roughly 12 hours late. Both companies listed an automatic late fee for said transactions of $39.00. And both received “Gee, shucks,” calls from me this evening in an attempt to get the respective late fees refunded.

- Call #1

The first call was to “Big Ass Bank”, with whom I’ve only recently had an account – it was opened in February. I got this card because it has a points program, and I figured if I’m going to use credit cards anyway, why not get a microscopic bit back? Representative gets on the phone. American man. I explain the situation – that I’m a doofus, and the payment slipped my mind until the morning after it was due. I was told flatly – and rather rudely – that “Big Ass Bank” does not refund any fees that are not of the bank’s error.

Well, that’s sweet of them.

Anyway, because I was getting nowhere with this attitude-laden customer service asshole, I hung up and tried my luck again. The second time around, I got an Indian man who was much gentler, but in his broken English explained their policy just as Ass #1 had. I said “Fine, give me to a supervisor, I’m closing my account.”

If haggling with credit card companies is a game of poker, “I’m closing my account” is the ultimate bluff. They have to act as though you actually are closing your account, and if there is any possible thing they can do to keep you, this is when they’ll pull such a miracle out when you were denied at every earlier point. (Hint: works well with cable companies too.)

It is at this point that I get an account specialist on the line – a woman – and explain that I’m closing my account because I’m being treated less than ideally. She begins the standard apology line, but, to my dismay, does not conclude it with an offer to remove the fee! “I’m sorry sir, but that is our policy.”

I’ve now had the policy explained to me by three different people – it’s not as though I don’t understand the concept of a policy, rather it is that I am highly skeptical of their supposed inability to break such a policy.

“Okay,” I said. “Offer me something. What can you offer me to get me to stay? I am obviously dissatisfied, and I am going to close this account unless you can do something for me.”

“Well, sir, I see that you have accumulated X number of rewards points on your account. I can help you redeem those and try and get a little bit of that money back.”

Gee, really? Does that come with a free kick to the balls? is what I want to ask, but I don’t… because at this rate, I could be charged a Kick To The Balls fee. “So you can do nothing for me? A higher limit? A lower rate? Nothing???”

“Well, sir, a limit increase would have to be approved by the credit reporting agencies (WHAT?), and you already have the lowest possible rate (no I don’t).”

In the end, my “Big Ass Bank” card has lived to fight another day due to a technicality – I am a paltry four points shy of a slightly-less-insignificant rewards plateau, and I’ll be damned if I’m going to let pride get in the way of a shopping spree!

- Call #2

Have you ever walked out of a restaurant? Have you ever had an experience so piss poor that you wouldn’t even stay and eat the trash meal they were trying to serve you? Isn’t it a relief to walk into the next restaurant, have an ordinary yet wonderful-by-comparison meal? That is what happened to me when I called the next company.

My other primary card is with the local bank that I have my checking account with, and have for a number of years. I’ve had this card account open for several years as well, and, shy of a rewards system, it has treated me better than any other card I’ve ever had (and I’ve had an extraordinary number of them).

I get on the line with a representative and explain my lapse. She is polite – even giggles when I refer to myself as a doofus for paying late – and with nary a hesitation she removes the charge.

Mission accomplished. I’m batting .500, it’s time to retire.

Mr. Wallace,” she says, just prior to the call’s conclusion, “I would also like to let you know that we would be happy to increase your credit line if you should so desire.”

Mr. Wallace likes large credit lines. Mr. Wallace is financially aroused. Mr. Wallace sees his debt-to-credit ratio shrink, his FICO score rise, and it’s as though Mr. Wallace is watching financial porn.

“Yes, that would be splendid!” I glow, as each passing second washes away bruises from the beating at the hands of “Big Ass Bank”. “I appreciate your help!”

I pressed my luck here, too. Asked for a reduced rate, but was rejected. Ah hell, you can’t have it all. But playing ball with me on the late fee and then offering a line increase out of nowhere goes a long way to me resuming my practice of using their card exclusively.

And in five more dollars, my relationship with “Big Ass Bank” will come to an abrupt end thanks to an unfortunate anti-consumer policy. I’ve had dozens of credit cards over the years, and have groveled to plenty of them to get late fees taken down. This is the first time I’ve been flat-out rejected. Should I take that kind of treatment for a pittance reward? I think not.

Loyalty pays. So does doing business with a non-ginormous national bank.

Changing the Rules: the National Football League

April 28th, 2009

This is an ongoing series in which I examine elements of the mechanics of professional sports that could use modernization or improvement

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The National Football League has set a pretty fine example over the years on how to be a flexible enough sport to adopt changes and morph into a more modern form as time goes on. It was the first sport to adopt video replay on a wide scale, and while the system is not totally perfected, it is far and away the best in sports, and has helped the league become what I believe to be the most well-officiated major sport.

While the only changes I would make to modernize the NFL are small ones – broadening the reach of instant replay, establishing a far greater number of cameras and angles at which the official can see replays, etc. – the league is in a constant state of change when it comes to rules and policies, and you can expect major changes coming soon to the NFL.

Current changes that the league is discussing include expanding the regular season schedule to 17 or 18 games per team while reducing the preseason to 2 or 3, and modifying the overtime system to make the coin-toss less significant a determining factor in the game’s outcome.

As for the schedule expansion, I’m fairly indifferent to this change. There are solid arguments on both sides of the fence. Opponents suggest that more regular season action would cause a greater number of injuries to star players, thus diluting the quality of the entire schedule. Proponents cannot stand the current slate of four (or, in some cases, five) preseason games per team, and if those were reduced and the season expanded, everybody who currently makes money from football would make even more, and fans surely wouldn’t complain about having more games to enjoy.

The most interesting schedule expansion proposal that I’ve read has been to go to a 17-game format, with each team having eight games at home, eight at an opponent’s home (“away” games), and one neutral site game. We’ve seen the NFL take it’s show on the road to London’s Wembley Stadium for a couple of regular season games now, as well as Mexico City. Exhibitions have taken place in Asia, Europe and Mexico as well. The NFL has done a spectacular job marketing its game internationally, and it seems that there are numerous hotbeds of potential NFL fanbases to cultivate all around the globe, and adding sixteen potential internationally-located match-ups per season would only enhance that growth. In my lifetime I expect to see NFL franchises located outside of North America, and I truly hope that is the case, because it would be incredibly fascinating to see how America’s game is received and consumed in various other cultures around the globe.

As for modifications to the league’s rules on overtime, I do not like the idea at all. Complaints have arisen because of the disproportionate number of games that end on the extra period’s first possession, thus making the coin toss an overly-important element. In my opinion, the root of this problem can be traced to a number of rules changes over the past two decades that have overwhelmingly favored the advancement of offensive-oriented football. Because a high-scoring contest is considered more marketable and palatable to a wider audience, the league has instituted a number of strict penalizations on aggressive defensive football.

The fact is, football is the only sport where you can score points while on defense. If the league tampers with one of the most exciting elements of its product – sudden death overtime – it will be a tragedy. If they really want to do something to make overtime more “fair”, they should loosen up pass interference and defensive holding penalties, and let it get a little more rough and tumble in the defensive backfield. Finesse offenses won’t march right down the field nearly as often if that were to happen. And who knows, maybe those coveted “casual fans” will learn to love defensive-minded football like some of us die-hards.